Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 21/07, 21:00
Prediction: Graeme Angus vs Justin Lyons
Prediction summary
Winner
Graeme Angus
Justin Lyons
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Graeme Angus
4-6 (W-L)
Justin Lyons
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Graeme Angus 1506 · Justin Lyons 1508
| Graeme Angus | Justin Lyons | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Graeme Angus | Justin Lyons | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.4 | 9.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 32% | 20.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Graeme Angus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Dillon Beckles Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Yigal Bergen Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Patrick Sydow Others · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Niike Hughes Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/06 | Vincent Yang UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Maxim Groysman UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Nikola Plavsic UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Charles Frey UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Carlos Guerrero Alvarez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Justin Lyons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Jan Sebesta UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/12 | John Bernard UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/12 | Albert Saar UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Vito Tonejc UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/12 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jorge Robinson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Mohammad Alkotop UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Graeme Angus vs Justin Lyons?
Our model gives 58% to Justin Lyons, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.