Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Pavel Bushuev vs Gabriel Porras
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Bushuev
Gabriel Porras
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Bushuev
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriel Porras
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Bushuev 1468 · Gabriel Porras 1510
| Pavel Bushuev | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Porras (rating 1468 vs 1510).
- Note: Gabriel Porras makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Pavel Bushuev | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13.1 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 62% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Gabriel Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Lo Nardo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 11/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Bushuev vs Gabriel Porras?
Our model gives 58% to Gabriel Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.