Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/07, 02:00
Prediction: Evan Lee vs Connor Robb-Wilcox
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Lee
Connor Robb-Wilcox
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Lee
6-4 (W-L)
Connor Robb-Wilcox
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Evan Lee
0–1
Connor Robb-Wilcox
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Lee 1448 · Connor Robb-Wilcox 1524
| Evan Lee | Connor Robb-Wilcox | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Connor Robb-Wilcox (rating 1448 vs 1524).
- Connor Robb-Wilcox is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Evan Lee 0–1 Connor Robb-Wilcox (1).
- Note: Evan Lee makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Evan Lee | Connor Robb-Wilcox | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.2 | 10.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Evan Lee 0 – 1 Connor Robb-Wilcox (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Evan Lee 0–1 Connor Robb-Wilcox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/05 | Adam Bain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Duncan McCall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Roman Venger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/01 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Connor Robb-Wilcox
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Felix Roussel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Ezekiel Clark UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Houston Jacques UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/12 | James Weber UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru UTR Pro Denver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Lee vs Connor Robb-Wilcox?
Our model gives 55% to Connor Robb-Wilcox, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.