Tennis · ATP Estoril · 18/07, 14:30
Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Chun Hsin Tseng
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
3-7 (W-L)
Chun Hsin Tseng
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1463 · Chun Hsin Tseng 1511
| Vilius Gaubas | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chun Hsin Tseng (rating 1463 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-15.2 | 13-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Mmoh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Van Assche French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-21 | L |
Chun Hsin Tseng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Gustavo Heide Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Moez Echargui Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Chun Hsin Tseng?
Our model gives 51% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.