Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
8-2 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniele Rapagnetta
0–1
Pietro Marino
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1514 · Pietro Marino 1522
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniele Rapagnetta 0–1 Pietro Marino (1).
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.6 | 11.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Daniele Rapagnetta 0 – 1 Pietro Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniele Rapagnetta 0–1 Pietro Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/25 ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 62% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.