Tennis · M25 Uriage · 18/07, 12:00

Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Alexander Weis Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWW
Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1571 · Geoffrey Blancaneaux 1476
Alexander WeisGeoffrey Blancaneaux
Our model63%37%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1571 vs 1476).
  • Alexander Weis is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Alexander WeisGeoffrey Blancaneaux
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-8.910.8-10.2
Aces3.42.9
Double faults0.62.3
1st serve %74.5%68.6%
Break %45.3%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Weis

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Florent Bax
M25 Uriage
2-1 18-17 W
16/07 Andrea M'chich
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-8 W
15/07 Nicola Senn
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-6 W
11/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 14-11 W
09/07 Damien Salvestre
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
02/07 Kacper Szymkowiak
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Amar Huseinovikj
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Mathys Domenc
M25 Uriage
2-1 16-11 W
15/07 Matisse Martin
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-2 W
30/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
23/06 Tomasz Berkieta
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
07/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/05 Corentin Denolly
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/05 Alec Deckers
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/05 Pierre Delage
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux?

Our model gives 53% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.