Tennis · WTA Prague · 18/07, 14:00

Prediction: Rebeka Masarova vs Valentina Ryser

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Rebeka Masarova Valentina Ryser
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rebeka Masarova 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWLW
Valentina Ryser 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rebeka Masarova 1502 · Valentina Ryser 1585
Rebeka MasarovaValentina Ryser
Our model38%62%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1502 vs 1585).
  • Valentina Ryser is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Rebeka Masarova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Rebeka MasarovaValentina Ryser
Win %50%80%
Win % · Grass 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.7-0.5
Games (G-P)12.2-11.811.5-8.4
Aces6.55.3
Double faults4.94.7
1st serve %73.3%72.7%
Break %39.3%62.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rebeka Masarova

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Carole Monnet
WTA Athens · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
08/07 Francesca Curmi
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Julia Grabher
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
23/06 Jil Teichmann
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Mia Pohankova
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-9 W
06/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
05/06 Mary Stoiana
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 15-10 W
04/06 Tatjana Maria
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W

Valentina Ryser

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Maria Golovina
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 9-14 L
12/07 Viktoria Hruncakova
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-8 W
11/07 Martyna Kubka
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Victoria Allen
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-8 W
09/07 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Demi Tran
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Kristina Mladenovic
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
15/06 Alana Smith
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 14-17 W
14/06 Sana Garakani
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rebeka Masarova vs Valentina Ryser?

Our model gives 56% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.