Tennis · WTA Palermo · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Amarissa Kiara Toth
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
4-6 (W-L)
Amarissa Kiara Toth
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1477 · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1499
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.8 | 11.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dora Miskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Caroline Werner W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaja Najzer W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/04 | Emily Seibold W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Victoria Pohle W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Amarissa Kiara Toth?
Our model gives 59% to Amarissa Kiara Toth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.