Tennis · M25 Gandia · 17/07, 19:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Eric Vanshelboim
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Eric Vanshelboim
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
5-5 (W-L)
Eric Vanshelboim
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1539 · Eric Vanshelboim 1568
| Sergi Fita Juan | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 11.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 61.9% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Eric Vanshelboim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Regas M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Louis Wessels M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Nikola Djosic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Gerard Campana Lee M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Henry Best M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Our model gives 59% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.