Tennis · M15 Uslar · 17/07, 10:00

Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Ruben Hartig

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Oleksii Krutykh Ruben Hartig
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh 10-0 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Ruben Hartig 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1590 · Ruben Hartig 1541
Oleksii KrutykhRuben Hartig
Our model57%43%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1590 vs 1541).

Statistics

Oleksii KrutykhRuben Hartig
Win %90%70%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.41.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.7-811.7-8.8
Aces3.92.3
Double faults1.83.1
1st serve %73.5%70.5%
Break %48.6%54.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleksii Krutykh

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Uslar
2-1 18-11 W
09/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel
2-1 10-10 W
08/07 Gregor Hausberger
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
28/06 Benito Sanchez Martinez
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
27/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
26/06 Michel Hopp
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
25/06 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Mariano Dedura-Palomero
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Ruben Hartig

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Richard Antoni
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Iannis Miletich
M15 Uslar
2-1 16-9 W
14/07 Armin Trklja
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Isac Stroemberg
M25 Kassel
0-2 9-13 L
24/06 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/06 Karim Al-Amin
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
18/06 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
1-2 9-17 L
17/06 Iulius Maximus Stoica
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
16/06 Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/05 Mihai Alexandru Coman
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 9-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Ruben Hartig?

Our model gives 75% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.