Tennis · W15 Astana · 17/07, 08:00

Prediction: Gaeul Jang vs Kristina Kroitor

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Gaeul Jang Kristina Kroitor
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gaeul Jang 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Kristina Kroitor 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gaeul Jang 1562 · Kristina Kroitor 1593
Gaeul JangKristina Kroitor
Our model46%54%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Gaeul Jang makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Gaeul JangKristina Kroitor
Win %70%90%
Win % · Clay 100% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.7-0.5
Games (G-P)12.2-8.812-7.7
Aces2.22
Double faults4.62.1
1st serve %68.1%66.3%
Break %61.5%58.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gaeul Jang

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Sonal Patil
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Astana
0-2 10-14 L
09/07 Edda Mamedova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Albina Kakenova
W15 Astana
2-1 17-11 W
27/06 Ayumi Miyamoto
W15 Sapporo
1-2 11-17 L
26/06 Ying Zhang
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Sara Yoshida
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Yuhan Liu
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-8 W
20/06 Aishi Das
W15 Sapporo
1-2 11-13 L

Kristina Kroitor

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
2-1 19-18 W
14/07 Sera Nishimoto
W15 Astana
2-0 12-9 W
10/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
0-2 1-12 L
09/07 Anna Sedysheva
W15 Astana
2-1 16-9 W
07/07 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
31/05 Anna Bazderova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-0 6-0 W
30/05 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
29/05 Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
28/05 Alisa Danilova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Daria Belyaeva
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gaeul Jang vs Kristina Kroitor?

Our model gives 57% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.