Tennis · M15 Uslar · 16/07, 14:00

Prediction: Lasse Poertner vs Niklas Guttau

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Lasse Poertner Niklas Guttau
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lasse Poertner 8-2 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWW
Niklas Guttau 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lasse Poertner 1522 · Niklas Guttau 1505
Lasse PoertnerNiklas Guttau
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lasse PoertnerNiklas Guttau
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.1-1
Games (G-P)11.9-9.310-9.8
Aces31.5
Double faults2.71.6
1st serve %69.6%59.7%
Break %61.1%53.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lasse Poertner

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Kaspar Mathes
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel
1-2 10-15 L
08/07 Mariano Dedura-Palomero
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Michel Hopp
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
01/07 Julien Penzlin
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
30/06 Julian Forer
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-1 6-7 L
15/06 Kim Johannes Niethammer
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/06 Sander Jong
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/06 Florian Broska
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Niklas Guttau

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Aryan Shah
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Michael Savano
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-7 W
26/06 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Jan Hrazdil
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/06 Max Wiskandt
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
10/06 Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/05 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
13/05 Lorenzo Comino
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lasse Poertner vs Niklas Guttau?

Our model gives 58% to Lasse Poertner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.