Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/07, 13:30
Prediction: Krystyna Pochtovyk vs Ellie Daniels
Prediction summary
Winner
Krystyna Pochtovyk
Ellie Daniels
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Krystyna Pochtovyk
5-5 (W-L)
Ellie Daniels
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Krystyna Pochtovyk 1410 · Ellie Daniels 1509
| Krystyna Pochtovyk | Ellie Daniels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ellie Daniels (rating 1410 vs 1509).
- Ellie Daniels is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Ellie Daniels makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Krystyna Pochtovyk | Ellie Daniels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-13.7 | 9.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krystyna Pochtovyk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Eleejah Inisan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Leticia Solakov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Kamilla Bartone W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/04 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 08/04 | Sveva Pieroni W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Ellie Daniels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Fangyu Shang W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Arina Kostina W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Gabriela Paun W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Eva Lopez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/03 | Ruby Cooling W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 24/03 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 16/11 | Maria Martinez Vaquero ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krystyna Pochtovyk vs Ellie Daniels?
Our model gives 68% to Ellie Daniels, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.