Tennis · M15 Wuning · 16/07, 12:00
Prediction: Zhao Zhao vs Shu Muto
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhao Zhao
Shu Muto
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zhao Zhao
7-3 (W-L)
Shu Muto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhao Zhao 1522 · Shu Muto 1481
| Zhao Zhao | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhao Zhao (rating 1522 vs 1481).
Statistics
| Zhao Zhao | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 10-11 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhao Zhao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Ye Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 03/06 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Zijiang Yang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Shu Muto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 15/04 | Zhan Zheng M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M25 Anning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhao Zhao vs Shu Muto?
Our model gives 57% to Zhao Zhao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.