Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 16/07, 18:00
Prediction: Justin Riley Anson vs Ainius Sabaliauskas
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Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Riley Anson
Ainius Sabaliauskas
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Riley Anson
5-5 (W-L)
Ainius Sabaliauskas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Riley Anson 1511 · Ainius Sabaliauskas 1520
| Justin Riley Anson | Ainius Sabaliauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Justin Riley Anson | Ainius Sabaliauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.5 | 12.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Riley Anson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Chase Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Mitchell Lee UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/05 | William Chase Thompson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jonty Giesen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/05 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/01 | Solal Pont UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/01 | Nikita Kryvonos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/01 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/01 | William Zhang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ainius Sabaliauskas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Mitchell Lee UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Chase Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Shaurya Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lun Obrul UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Colson Wells UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Riley Anson vs Ainius Sabaliauskas?
Our model gives 55% to Ainius Sabaliauskas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.