Football · Brazil Paulista Serie B · 19/07, 15:00

Prediction: Independente SP U23 vs SC Paulinense U23

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Independente SP U232.07
SC Paulinense U230.83
1X2
65% 22% 13%
Independente SP U23 Draw SC Paulinense U23
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Independente SP U23 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWWWW
SC Paulinense U23 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWWWWL
Head-to-head
Independente SP U23 1–0 SC Paulinense U23 (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independente SP U23 1581 · SC Paulinense U23 1521
Independente SP U23DrawSC Paulinense U23
Our model65%22%13%
Market65%22%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independente SP U23 (rating 1581 vs 1521).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Independente SP U23SC Paulinense U23
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 0.51 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.20.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 5.12.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 1.15.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independente SP U23 100 SC Paulinense U23

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
Brazil Paulista Serie B
SC Paulinense U230-1
HT 0-0
Independente SP U23

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independente SP U23

WWWWLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 SC Paulinense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-0 55 W
05/07 Tupa U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 2-0 38 W
28/06 Tupa U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 2-0 32 W
20/06 Gremio Catanduvense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
11-0 17-0 134 W
13/06 Sao Carlos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-2 0-2 56 L
07/06 Santacruzense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 79 L
30/05 Mogi Mirim U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
2-0 4-1 W
24/05 Matonense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 2-0 47 W
17/05 Gremio Catanduvense U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 4-0 W
10/05 Sao Carlos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 2-1 17 W

SC Paulinense U23

LLWWLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Independente SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 105 L
05/07 Sao Carlos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 2-0 14 W
27/06 Sao Carlos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 1-0 15 W
20/06 Guarulhos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-1 2-1 23 W
14/06 GO Audax U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 1-0 56 W
07/06 Flamengo SP U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-1 46 L
30/05 Votoraty U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 2-1 68 W
24/05 Paulinia Universitario U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-0 1-0 16 W
17/05 Guarulhos U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
1-3 1-7 85 L
09/05 GO Audax U23
Brazil Paulista Serie B
0-0 0-2 49 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independente SP U23 vs SC Paulinense U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independente SP U23 win (65%). Probabilities: Independente SP U23 65%, draw 22%, SC Paulinense U23 13%.

How many goals are expected in Independente SP U23 vs SC Paulinense U23?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Independente SP U23 2.07 · SC Paulinense U23 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Independente SP U23 vs SC Paulinense U23?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.