Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 19/07, 03:00
Prediction: Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Guadalupe FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Escorpiones de Belen FC1.66
Guadalupe FC1.66
1X2
Escorpiones de Belen FC
Draw
Guadalupe FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Escorpiones de Belen FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Guadalupe FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Escorpiones de Belen FC
3–3
Guadalupe FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Escorpiones de Belen FC 1555 · Guadalupe FC 1437
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | Draw | Guadalupe FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Escorpiones de Belen FC (rating 1555 vs 1437).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | Guadalupe FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.5 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Escorpiones de Belen FC 3–0–3 Guadalupe FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda | Guadalupe FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 26/01/25 Costa Rica Segunda | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Guadalupe FC |
| 22/09/24 Costa Rica Segunda | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Guadalupe FC |
| 13/08/24 Costa Rica Segunda | Guadalupe FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 25/02/24 Costa Rica Segunda | Guadalupe FC | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 14/01/24 Costa Rica Segunda | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Guadalupe FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Escorpiones de Belen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 11 | D |
| 05/05 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 18/04 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda |
5-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/03 | Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/03 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 17/03 | Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Guadalupe FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/03 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/03 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Guadalupe FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Escorpiones de Belen FC win (38%). Probabilities: Escorpiones de Belen FC 38%, draw 25%, Guadalupe FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Guadalupe FC?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Escorpiones de Belen FC 1.66 · Guadalupe FC 1.66), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Guadalupe FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.