Football · Fiji National League · 19/07, 02:00

Prediction: Tailevu Naitasiri vs Nadi FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.16Total
Tailevu Naitasiri1.28
Nadi FC2.88
1X2
14% 16% 70%
Tailevu Naitasiri Draw Nadi FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Tailevu Naitasiri 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLDDLLLLLD
Nadi FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLLWW
Head-to-head
Tailevu Naitasiri 1–1–1 Nadi FC (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tailevu Naitasiri 1389 · Nadi FC 1477
Tailevu NaitasiriDrawNadi FC
Our model14%17%70%
Market14%16%70%
Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nadi FC (rating 1389 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tailevu NaitasiriNadi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 41.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 2.11 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.80.8 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.42.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tailevu Naitasiri 111 Nadi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/06/24
Fiji National League
Tailevu Naitasiri2-4
HT 0-3
Nadi FC
09/06/23
Fiji Cup
Nadi FC1-1
HT 1-0
Tailevu Naitasiri
13/02/22
Fiji National League
Nadi FC0-3
HT 0-2
Tailevu Naitasiri

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTailevu NaitasiriNadi FC
Nasinu FC 1-3 L 1-2 L
Rewa FC 0-1 L 1-4 L
Navua FC 1-4 L 1-0 W
Suva FC 0-8 L 2-1 W
Lautoka FC 3-3 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nadi FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tailevu Naitasiri

LLDDLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Nadroga FC
Fiji National League
2-2 2-2 83 D
05/07 Nasinu FC
Fiji National League
1-3 1-3 96 L
29/05 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
0-0 0-1 42 L
10/05 BA FC
Fiji National League
0-4 0-9 24 L
02/05 Navua FC
Fiji National League
1-2 1-4 25 L
26/04 Suva FC
Fiji National League
0-5 0-8 24 L
22/03 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
2-1 3-3 24 D
15/03 Nadroga FC
Fiji National League
2-1 3-3 24 D
22/02 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
0-2 0-4 43 L
09/10 Tavua FC
Fiji Cup
0-1 0-3 34 L

Nadi FC

LLDDWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/05 Navua FC
Fiji National League
0-0 1-0 00 W
22/05 Suva FC
Fiji National League
2-0 2-1 00 W
17/05 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
1-2 00 L
03/05 Nasinu FC
Fiji National League
1-1 1-2 L
26/04 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
0-3 1-4 56 L
22/02 Navua FC
Fiji National League
0-0 1-0 27 W
09/10 Lautoka FC
Fiji Cup
3-2 4-4 44 D
08/10 Suva FC
Fiji Cup
1-0 1-1 34 D
07/10 Labasa FC
Fiji Cup
0-1 0-2 24 L
28/09 Navua FC
Fiji National League
2-2 2-5 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tailevu Naitasiri vs Nadi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nadi FC win (70%). Probabilities: Tailevu Naitasiri 14%, draw 16%, Nadi FC 70%.

How many goals are expected in Tailevu Naitasiri vs Nadi FC?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Tailevu Naitasiri 1.28 · Nadi FC 2.88), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tailevu Naitasiri vs Nadi FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.