Football · Fiji National League · 19/07, 05:00
Prediction: BA FC vs Navua FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
BA FC2.04
Navua FC0.91
1X2
BA FC
Draw
Navua FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
BA FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Navua FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BA FC
5–1
Navua FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BA FC 1556 · Navua FC 1494
| BA FC | Draw | Navua FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BA FC (rating 1556 vs 1494).
- H2H favours BA FC: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BA FC | Navua FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 44/56/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.8 / 8.5 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BA FC 5–0–1 Navua FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Fiji National League | Navua FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | BA FC |
| 07/10/25 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Navua FC |
| 01/06/25 Fiji Cup | Navua FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | BA FC |
| 04/05/25 Fiji National League | Navua FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | BA FC |
| 08/06/24 Fiji Cup | Navua FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | BA FC |
| 09/06/23 Fiji Cup | BA FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Navua FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BA FC | Navua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Suva FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Nasinu FC | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lautoka FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Nadroga FC | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Rewa FC | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Tailevu Naitasiri | 9-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Labasa FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BA FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Suva FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Nasinu FC Fiji Cup |
3-0 | 6-0 | 22 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Lautoka FC Fiji Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadroga FC Fiji Cup |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Tailevu Naitasiri Fiji National League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Labasa FC Fiji National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Navua FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Navua FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Suva FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Labasa FC Fiji Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Rewa FC Fiji Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Nadi FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Nadroga FC Fiji National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Nasinu FC Fiji National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Rewa FC Fiji National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Tailevu Naitasiri Fiji National League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | BA FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Lautoka FC Fiji National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BA FC vs Navua FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BA FC win (63%). Probabilities: BA FC 63%, draw 21%, Navua FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in BA FC vs Navua FC?
The model expects 2.95 goals (BA FC 2.04 · Navua FC 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in BA FC vs Navua FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.