Football · Fiji National League · 19/07, 03:00

Prediction: Lautoka FC vs Nasinu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Lautoka FC2.17
Nasinu FC1.27
1X2
57% 22% 21%
Lautoka FC Draw Nasinu FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lautoka FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWLWDWWW
Nasinu FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWDDLLLW
Head-to-head
Lautoka FC 5–1–0 Nasinu FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lautoka FC 1558 · Nasinu FC 1463
Lautoka FCDrawNasinu FC
Our model57%22%21%
Market57%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautoka FC (rating 1558 vs 1463).
  • H2H favours Lautoka FC: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lautoka FCNasinu FC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.21.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.90.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/25/38%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.41.1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.42.9 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lautoka FC 510 Nasinu FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
19/06/26
Fiji Cup
Lautoka FC4-1
HT 3-1
Nasinu FC
06/07/25
Fiji National League
Lautoka FC2-0
HT 0-0
Nasinu FC
07/10/20
Fiji Cup
Lautoka FC2-1
HT 2-0
Nasinu FC
30/08/20
Fiji National League
Nasinu FC1-1
HT 1-0
Lautoka FC
02/02/20
Fiji National League
Lautoka FC6-0
HT 3-0
Nasinu FC
26/07/19
Fiji Cup
Lautoka FC4-0
HT 0-0
Nasinu FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLautoka FCNasinu FC
Nadroga FC 2-0 W 0-4 L
BA FC 2-0 W 0-6 L
Suva FC 1-1 D 3-1 W
Nadi FC 2-1 W 2-1 W
Labasa FC 1-2 L 2-2 D
Tailevu Naitasiri 3-3 D 3-1 W
Navua FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nasinu FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lautoka FC

DDDWLWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Nadroga FC
Fiji Cup
2-0 2-0 32 W
20/06 BA FC
Fiji Cup
2-0 2-0 44 W
19/06 Nasinu FC
Fiji Cup
3-1 4-1 70 W
29/05 Suva FC
Fiji National League
0-1 1-1 610 D
17/05 Nadi FC
Fiji National League
2-1 00 W
10/05 Labasa FC
Fiji National League
1-2 L
03/05 Nadroga FC
Fiji National League
2-2 3-2 W
26/04 BA FC
Fiji National League
0-1 1-1 D
22/03 Tailevu Naitasiri
Fiji National League
1-2 3-3 64 D
15/03 Navua FC
Fiji National League
0-0 1-1 50 D

Nasinu FC

LLWWDDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Tailevu Naitasiri
Fiji National League
3-1 3-1 16 W
21/06 BA FC
Fiji Cup
0-3 0-6 00 L
20/06 Nadroga FC
Fiji Cup
0-1 0-4 35 L
19/06 Lautoka FC
Fiji Cup
1-3 1-4 10 L
29/05 Labasa FC
Fiji National League
0-0 2-2 23 D
17/05 Navua FC
Fiji National League
0-1 1-1 36 D
10/05 Suva FC
Fiji National League
1-0 3-1 W
03/05 Nadi FC
Fiji National League
1-1 2-1 W
22/03 BA FC
Fiji National League
0-2 0-4 L
15/03 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
0-0 1-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lautoka FC vs Nasinu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lautoka FC win (57%). Probabilities: Lautoka FC 57%, draw 22%, Nasinu FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Lautoka FC vs Nasinu FC?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Lautoka FC 2.17 · Nasinu FC 1.27), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lautoka FC vs Nasinu FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.