Prediction: Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23
| Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Draw | Uniao Mogi U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Itaquaquecetuba U23 (rating 1596 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Itaquaquecetuba U23: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Uniao Mogi U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.1 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.7 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Itaquaquecetuba U23 2–0–1 Uniao Mogi U23
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 |
| 20/06/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Uniao Mogi U23 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 |
| 17/05/26 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Itaquaquecetuba U23 | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Uniao Mogi U23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Uniao Mogi U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Maua U23 | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Manthiqueira U23 | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Barcelona SP U23 | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Mauaense U23 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Itaquaquecetuba U23 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itaquaquecetuba U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 04/07 | Paulinia Universitario U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Paulinia Universitario U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
4-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 17/05 | Uniao Mogi U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Uniao Mogi U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 12 | L |
| 04/07 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Maua U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Manthiqueira U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Barcelona SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Itaquaquecetuba U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Mauaense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Itaquaquecetuba U23 win (71%). Probabilities: Itaquaquecetuba U23 71%, draw 18%, Uniao Mogi U23 11%.
How many goals are expected in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Itaquaquecetuba U23 2.27 · Uniao Mogi U23 0.78), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Itaquaquecetuba U23 vs Uniao Mogi U23?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.