Football · Macau 1st Division · 18/07, 15:00

Prediction: Artilheiros vs Hang Sai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.83Total
Artilheiros1.55
Hang Sai3.27
1X2
15% 15% 71%
Artilheiros Draw Hang Sai
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Artilheiros 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLLLW
Hang Sai 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Artilheiros 0–1–0 Hang Sai (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Artilheiros 1395 · Hang Sai 1444
ArtilheirosDrawHang Sai
Our model15%15%70%
Market15%14%71%
Estimated total (ours) 4.83 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hang Sai (rating 1395 vs 1444).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ArtilheirosHang Sai
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 5.52 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 2.80.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/10/80%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 21 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Artilheiros 010 Hang Sai

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Macau 1st Division
Hang Sai2-2
HT 1-0
Artilheiros

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArtilheirosHang Sai
Macau University 3-2 W 7-1 W
Shao Jiang SA 0-14 L 2-5 L
MUST IPO 1-10 L 0-3 L
Macau Chiba FC 1-3 L 1-2 L
Gala 3-6 L 0-5 L
Benfica Macau 0-4 L 0-4 L
Cheng Fung 0-5 L 1-1 D
Gorilla Of The Universe SC 0-4 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 7 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Hang Sai (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Artilheiros

DLLLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-2 46 W
03/07 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
0-7 0-14 12 L
27/06 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-6 1-10 13 L
21/06 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
0-0 1-3 L
30/05 Gala
Macau 1st Division
2-4 3-6 L
23/05 Benfica Macau
Macau FA Cup
0-2 0-4 04 L
09/05 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
0-4 1-5 14 L
03/05 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
0-3 0-5 34 L
25/04 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
0-1 0-4 16 L
12/04 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
0-1 2-2 53 D

Hang Sai

LLDWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-3 25 L
05/07 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
3-0 7-1 44 W
26/06 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
0-3 2-5 14 L
21/06 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-1 0-3 L
13/06 Gala
Macau FA Cup
0-3 0-5 74 L
31/05 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
0-1 1-2 56 L
23/05 Macau University
Macau FA Cup
4-0 6-1 43 W
08/05 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
0-0 1-1 35 D
01/05 Gala
Macau 1st Division
0-1 1-2 32 L
24/04 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
0-1 0-4 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Artilheiros vs Hang Sai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hang Sai win (71%). Probabilities: Artilheiros 15%, draw 15%, Hang Sai 71%.

How many goals are expected in Artilheiros vs Hang Sai?

The model expects 4.83 goals (Artilheiros 1.55 · Hang Sai 3.27), with a 53% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Artilheiros vs Hang Sai?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.