Prediction: Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang SA
| Cheng Fung | Draw | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 7% | 9% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shao Jiang SA (rating 1478 vs 1586).
- H2H favours Shao Jiang SA: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheng Fung | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.3 | 5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 2.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 4.8 / 9.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheng Fung 0–1–3 Shao Jiang SA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cheng Fung |
| 23/07/25 Macau FA Cup | Cheng Fung | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Shao Jiang SA |
| 05/07/25 Macau 1st Division | Cheng Fung | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Shao Jiang SA |
| 25/05/25 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Cheng Fung |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cheng Fung | Shao Jiang SA |
|---|---|---|
| MUST IPO | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Macau Chiba FC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Gala | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Gorilla Of The Universe SC | 4-4 D | 11-0 W |
| Benfica Macau | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Hang Sai | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Artilheiros | 5-0 W | 14-0 W |
| Macau University | 3-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shao Jiang SA (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheng Fung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 1-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | MUST IPO Macau FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
Shao Jiang SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
7-0 | 14-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Benfica Macau Macau FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
6-0 | 11-0 | 17 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-2 | 3-3 | 18 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shao Jiang SA win (80%). Probabilities: Cheng Fung 9%, draw 11%, Shao Jiang SA 80%.
How many goals are expected in Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang SA?
The model expects 4.69 goals (Cheng Fung 1.34 · Shao Jiang SA 3.34), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang SA?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.