Football · Chile Primera B · 19/07, 20:00
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
San Luis Quillota1.62
Union Espanola1.27
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Union Espanola
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
1–5
Union Espanola
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1534 · Union Espanola 1502
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.6 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 1–0–5 Union Espanola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Chile Primera B | Union Espanola | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 18/08/18 Chile Liga de Primera | San Luis Quillota | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola |
| 05/05/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 19/08/17 Chile Apertura | Union Espanola | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 14/05/17 Chile Clausura | San Luis Quillota | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola |
| 08/12/16 Chile Apertura | Union Espanola | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (44%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 44%, draw 27%, Union Espanola 29%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
The model expects 2.89 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.62 · Union Espanola 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.