Football · Chile Primera B · 19/07, 20:00
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
CD Antofagasta1.84
Rangers de Talca0.69
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Rangers de Talca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Rangers de Talca
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
1–3–2
Rangers de Talca
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1561 · Rangers de Talca 1409
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1561 vs 1409).
- H2H favours Rangers de Talca: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 1–3–2 Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD Antofagasta |
| 14/10/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 01/06/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 21/07/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 03/03/24 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 4-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 30/07/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Rangers de Talca |
|---|---|---|
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (64%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 64%, draw 23%, Rangers de Talca 13%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
The model expects 2.53 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.84 · Rangers de Talca 0.69), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.