Prediction: Magallanes vs Curico Unido
| Magallanes | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Curico Unido (rating 1452 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Magallanes: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.8 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–3–1 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
| 02/08/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 18/03/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 24/08/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 28/06/24 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 23/06/24 Chile Cup | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Puerto Montt | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Curico Unido (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (49%). Probabilities: Magallanes 49%, draw 27%, Curico Unido 24%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Magallanes 1.57 · Curico Unido 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.