Football · Chile Primera B · 19/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos De Arica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.02
San Marcos De Arica1.2
1X2
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw
San Marcos De Arica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
San Marcos De Arica
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
3–1–2
San Marcos De Arica
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1500 · San Marcos De Arica 1461
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | Draw | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Club Deportes Santa Cruz: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 3–1–2 San Marcos De Arica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 25/10/25 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 15/06/25 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 10/08/24 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 01/04/24 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 03/10/23 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos De Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Marcos De Arica (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
San Marcos De Arica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos De Arica?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Marcos De Arica win (40%). Probabilities: Club Deportes Santa Cruz 31%, draw 29%, San Marcos De Arica 40%.
How many goals are expected in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.02 · San Marcos De Arica 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.