Football · Gambia Division 2 · 16/07, 18:30
Prediction: TMT FA vs Elite United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
TMT FA1.36
Elite United1.01
1X2
TMT FA
Draw
Elite United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
TMT FA
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Elite United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
TMT FA
1–0
Elite United
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TMT FA 1493 · Elite United 1497
| TMT FA | Draw | Elite United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TMT FA | Elite United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TMT FA 1–0–0 Elite United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/23 Gambia Division 2 | TMT FA | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Elite United |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TMT FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Team Rhino FC Gambia GFA League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Hawks FC Gambia GFA League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Gambian Dutch Lions Gambia GFA League |
4-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Bombada FC Gambia GFA League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Greater Tomorrow FC Gambia GFA League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Fortune FC Gambia GFA League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Real de Banjul Gambia GFA League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Falcons FC Gambia GFA League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/04 | BST Galaxy Gambia GFA League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/04 | Brikama United Gambia GFA League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Elite United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Baalor Sarr FC Gambia Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Unique Global FC Gambia Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Serrekunda Utd Gambia Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/04 | Serrekunda FC Gambia Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | Gambia Armed Force Gambia Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 27/03 | Fortune FC Gambia FF Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | RS Tallinding Gambia Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 07/03 | Marimoo Gambia Division 2 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/03 | FC Wagadou Gambia Division 2 |
4-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/02 | Unique Global FC Gambia Division 2 |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TMT FA vs Elite United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TMT FA win (44%). Probabilities: TMT FA 44%, draw 29%, Elite United 27%.
How many goals are expected in TMT FA vs Elite United?
The model expects 2.37 goals (TMT FA 1.36 · Elite United 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in TMT FA vs Elite United?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.