Football · Macau 1st Division · 17/07, 15:00

Prediction: Gala vs MUST IPO

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.93Total
Gala1.29
MUST IPO2.64
1X2
16% 18% 66%
Gala Draw MUST IPO
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Gala 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWWWWW
MUST IPO 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Gala 0–1–3 MUST IPO (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gala 1603 · MUST IPO 1619
GalaDrawMUST IPO
Our model16%18%66%
Market16%18%66%
Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MUST IPO: 3-1-0.
  • High corners: 15.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GalaMUST IPO
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 1.34 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.51.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.13.6 / 9.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.62.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gala 013 MUST IPO

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Macau 1st Division
MUST IPO3-1
HT 1-1
Gala
04/05/25
Macau 1st Division
MUST IPO4-0
HT 3-0
Gala
07/08/24
Macau FA Cup
MUST IPO2-2
HT 0-1
Gala
05/04/24
Macau 1st Division
MUST IPO3-0
HT 3-0
Gala

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGalaMUST IPO
Macau Chiba FC 3-0 W 0-0 D
Cheng Fung 4-1 W 6-1 W
Benfica Macau 5-0 W 3-1 W
Hang Sai 5-0 W 3-0 W
Artilheiros 6-3 W 10-1 W
Macau University 3-0 W 2-0 W
Shao Jiang SA 3-3 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 0 L 6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gala (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gala

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 37 W
04/07 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
2-0 3-2 81 W
27/06 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
1-0 4-1 81 W
19/06 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
3-0 5-0 64 W
13/06 Hang Sai
Macau FA Cup
3-0 5-0 64 W
30/05 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
4-2 6-3 W
09/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 103 W
01/05 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-1 52 W
25/04 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
1-2 3-3 61 D
12/04 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
1-1 1-3 36 L

MUST IPO

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
3-0 6-1 144 W
04/07 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
2-1 3-1 43 W
27/06 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
6-0 10-1 183 W
21/06 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 W
13/06 Cheng Fung
Macau FA Cup
1-0 5-0 111 W
29/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
0-0 2-0 140 W
02/05 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
0-0 1-0 43 W
26/04 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
0-0 0-0 124 D
12/04 Gala
Macau 1st Division
1-1 3-1 46 W
21/03 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
3-0 7-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gala vs MUST IPO?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MUST IPO win (66%). Probabilities: Gala 16%, draw 18%, MUST IPO 66%.

How many goals are expected in Gala vs MUST IPO?

The model expects 3.93 goals (Gala 1.29 · MUST IPO 2.64), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gala vs MUST IPO?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.