Football · New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women · 17/07, 09:30
Prediction: West Coast Rangers (W) vs Auckland United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
West Coast Rangers (W)1.03
Auckland United (W)1.81
1X2
West Coast Rangers (W)
Draw
Auckland United (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Coast Rangers (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Auckland United (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Coast Rangers (W)
1–4
Auckland United (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Coast Rangers (W) 1554 · Auckland United (W) 1574
| West Coast Rangers (W) | Draw | Auckland United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Auckland United (W): 4-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Coast Rangers (W) | Auckland United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Coast Rangers (W) 1–0–4 Auckland United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 New Zealand National League Women | Auckland United (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | West Coast Rangers (W) |
| 25/07/25 New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women | West Coast Rangers (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Auckland United (W) |
| 05/07/25 New Zealand Cup Women | Auckland United (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | West Coast Rangers (W) |
| 08/11/24 New Zealand Premier League Women | West Coast Rangers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Auckland United (W) |
| 06/07/24 New Zealand Cup Women | Auckland United (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | West Coast Rangers (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Coast Rangers (W) | Auckland United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Western Springs (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CF Wellington United (W) | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Southern United (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Auckland United (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Coast Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Fencibles United (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Fencibles United (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/11 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 14/11 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/11 | Canterbury United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Western Springs (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Auckland United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | CF Wellington United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Southern United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/10 | Central Football (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Auckland United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ellerslie (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Ellerslie (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/11 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 22/11 | CF Wellington United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Southern United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/11 | Western Springs (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Petone FC (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/10 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | West Coast Rangers (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Coast Rangers (W) vs Auckland United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Auckland United (W) win (55%). Probabilities: West Coast Rangers (W) 21%, draw 24%, Auckland United (W) 55%.
How many goals are expected in West Coast Rangers (W) vs Auckland United (W)?
The model expects 2.84 goals (West Coast Rangers (W) 1.03 · Auckland United (W) 1.81), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in West Coast Rangers (W) vs Auckland United (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.