Football · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · 18/07, 20:00

Prediction: SC Aymores vs Boa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

SC Aymores1.36

Boa0.93

1X2

46% 30% 25%

SC Aymores Draw Boa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SC Aymores 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDLWDD

Boa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDDLWW

Head-to-head

SC Aymores 2–2 Boa (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Aymores 1527 · Boa 1525

	SC Aymores	Draw	Boa
Our model	45%	30%	24%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Aymores	Boa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:17 +3’	1.95	3.10	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Aymores 2–0–2 Boa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	SC Aymores	4-0 HT 1-0	Boa
08/07/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Boa	1-0 HT 1-0	SC Aymores
11/05/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	SC Aymores	2-1	Boa
03/05/22 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Boa	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Aymores

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Mineiro, Modulo II 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valeriodoce EC	10	5	5	0	9	4	20
2	Democrata SL	10	5	2	3	19	10	17
3	SC Aymores	10	4	4	2	17	9	16
4	Villa Nova	10	4	2	4	17	12	14
5	Coimbra	10	2	4	4	12	12	10
6	Ipatinga	10	1	1	8	6	33	-2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Aymores

LWWDWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
04/07	Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
01/07	Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/06	Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
24/06	Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
20/06	Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	3-1	9	5	W
18/06	Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/06	Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
06/06	Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Boa

WLWWLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	4-0	4-2	3	4	W
05/07	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	3-1	6	8	W
02/07	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
28/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
21/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
18/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
07/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
31/05	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	10	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Aymores vs Boa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Aymores win (46%). Probabilities: SC Aymores 46%, draw 30%, Boa 25%.

How many goals are expected in SC Aymores vs Boa?

The model expects 2.29 goals (SC Aymores 1.36 · Boa 0.93), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Aymores vs Boa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.