Prediction: Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce EC
| Villa Nova | Draw | Valeriodoce EC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 32% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeriodoce EC (rating 1501 vs 1560).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa Nova | Valeriodoce EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 29/71/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Nova 0–1–1 Valeriodoce EC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 | Valeriodoce EC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Villa Nova |
| 30/05/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 | Villa Nova | 2-2 | Valeriodoce EC |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Mineiro, Modulo II 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valeriodoce EC | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Democrata SL | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Aymores | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Villa Nova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Coimbra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Ipatinga | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 33 | -2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa Nova | Valeriodoce EC |
|---|---|---|
| SC Aymores | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Coimbra | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ipatinga | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Democrata SL | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Valeriodoce EC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 01/07 | Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Valeriodoce EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 02/07 | Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce EC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Nova win (37%). Probabilities: Villa Nova 37%, draw 33%, Valeriodoce EC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce EC?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Villa Nova 1.02 · Valeriodoce EC 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce EC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.