Football · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · 18/07, 21:15

Prediction: Mamore vs Uberaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Mamore0.85

Uberaba1.18

1X2

25% 32% 43%

Mamore Draw Uberaba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mamore 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWDDLW

Uberaba 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Mamore 2–3 Uberaba (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mamore 1491 · Uberaba 1573

	Mamore	Draw	Uberaba
Our model	25%	33%	42%
Market	26%	31%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uberaba (rating 1491 vs 1573).
H2H favours Uberaba: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mamore	Uberaba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 4.5	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	5.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X2.90

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:17 +5’	3.50	2.90	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mamore 2–0–3 Uberaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Uberaba	1-0 HT 0-0	Mamore
09/06/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	0-2 HT 0-0	Uberaba
21/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Uberaba	3-0 HT 1-0	Mamore
06/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	2-0 HT 1-0	Uberaba
26/09/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	2-1 HT 1-1	Uberaba

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Mineiro, Modulo II 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uberaba	10	7	2	1	17	9	23
2	Boa	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
3	CA Patrocinense	10	3	3	4	9	9	12
4	Mamore	10	3	3	4	8	9	12
5	Guarani MG	10	3	3	4	12	14	12
6	Caldense MG	10	1	3	6	6	14	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mamore	Uberaba
CA Patrocinense	1-0 W	1-0 W
Guarani MG	2-2 D	2-1 W
Boa	0-0 D	3-1 W
Caldense MG	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Uberaba (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mamore

WLLLDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/07	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
02/07	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
28/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
20/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
09/06	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
30/05	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	3-1	3	2	W

Uberaba

WWLDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
05/07	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
02/07	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
28/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
24/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
20/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
14/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
09/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
30/05	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	2-0	4	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mamore vs Uberaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Uberaba win (43%). Probabilities: Mamore 25%, draw 32%, Uberaba 43%.

How many goals are expected in Mamore vs Uberaba?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Mamore 0.85 · Uberaba 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mamore vs Uberaba?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.