Football · Uruguay Segunda · 19/07, 15:30

Prediction: Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Tacuarembo0.86
Plaza Colonia1.08
1X2
28% 32% 40%
Tacuarembo Draw Plaza Colonia
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tacuarembo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLWLDL
Plaza Colonia 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWLLWL
Head-to-head
Tacuarembo 0–4 Plaza Colonia (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuarembo 1493 · Plaza Colonia 1488
TacuaremboDrawPlaza Colonia
Our model27%34%39%
Market29%31%41%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 4-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 13.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TacuaremboPlaza Colonia
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 11 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.32.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.27.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuarembo 004 Plaza Colonia

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/08/24
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia1-0
HT 0-0
Tacuarembo
19/05/24
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo0-1Plaza Colonia
05/08/18
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo0-1Plaza Colonia
10/03/18
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia2-0Tacuarembo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTacuaremboPlaza Colonia
La Luz 0-2 L 1-0 W
Cerrito 0-0 D 0-1 L
CA Atenas 0-2 L 1-2 L
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Huracan DPA 1-2 L 0-0 D
Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 W 0-2 L
Club Oriental 0-2 L 3-1 W
Colon FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuarembo

DWWLWLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 26 L
05/07 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 15 D
27/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 36 L
20/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 414 W
13/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 36 L
07/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 63 W
01/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 55 L
24/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 16 W
17/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-1 56 W
10/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 D

Plaza Colonia

LWWLDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 45 L
04/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 210 W
28/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 86 L
21/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 76 L
14/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 49 W
06/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 97 D
30/05 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 75 L
22/05 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 86 W
16/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 311 W
10/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 511 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Colonia win (40%). Probabilities: Tacuarembo 28%, draw 32%, Plaza Colonia 40%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Tacuarembo 0.86 · Plaza Colonia 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.