Football · Uruguay Segunda · 20/07, 00:30

Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs La Luz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Miramar Misiones1.1
La Luz0.98
1X2
37% 31% 31%
Miramar Misiones Draw La Luz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Misiones 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWDWLWDL
La Luz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLWDLW
Head-to-head
Miramar Misiones 0–2–1 La Luz (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1506 · La Luz 1501
Miramar MisionesDrawLa Luz
Our model37%33%31%
Market38%30%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Miramar MisionesLa Luz
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.20.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.91.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.35.4 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 021 La Luz

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/07/22
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1
HT 0-1
La Luz
08/05/22
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz3-1
HT 3-0
Miramar Misiones
18/11/21
Uruguay Segunda B Nacional
La Luz0-0
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiramar MisionesLa Luz
Cerrito 0-1 L 2-0 W
CA Atenas 1-1 D 0-4 L
Paysandu FC 3-2 W 1-2 L
Huracan DPA 0-1 L 1-1 D
Uruguay Montevideo 3-1 W 2-0 W
Club Oriental 2-2 D 0-0 D
Colon FC 3-1 W 0-0 D
CA River Plate 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Miramar Misiones (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miramar Misiones

DLDWDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 47 L
06/07 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 63 D
28/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 3-2 48 W
19/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 65 L
13/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 28 W
08/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 78 D
31/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 38 W
25/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 27 D
17/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 48 L
10/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 17 D

La Luz

DDWDLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
04/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 910 L
28/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 111 W
14/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-4 72 L
06/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 35 L
31/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 39 D
24/05 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 29 W
18/05 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs La Luz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Misiones win (37%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 37%, draw 31%, La Luz 31%.

How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs La Luz?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.1 · La Luz 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs La Luz?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.