Football · Uruguay Segunda · 20/07, 01:00

Prediction: Colon FC vs Paysandu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Colon FC1.34
Paysandu FC0.97
1X2
44% 29% 26%
Colon FC Draw Paysandu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colon FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWDWDWW
Paysandu FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLLLWW
Head-to-head
Colon FC 1–0 Paysandu FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon FC 1530 · Paysandu FC 1462
Colon FCDrawPaysandu FC
Our model44%30%26%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colon FC (rating 1530 vs 1462).
  • Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Colon FCPaysandu FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.12.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.67.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon FC 100 Paysandu FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Uruguay Segunda
Paysandu FC0-2Colon FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColon FCPaysandu FC
Huracan DPA 2-0 W 2-2 D
CA River Plate 2-1 W 0-1 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-1 D 1-0 W
Rentistas 2-0 W 2-1 W
Miramar Misiones 1-3 L 2-3 L
Tacuarembo 0-2 L 0-1 L
Plaza Colonia 0-1 L 1-2 L
La Luz 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon FC

DLLLWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 37 W
06/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
28/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 74 D
20/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 63 W
13/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 35 D
07/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 510 W
31/05 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-3 58 L
24/05 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 56 L
16/05 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 711 L
09/05 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 42 D

Paysandu FC

DLLLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 58 W
04/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 45 W
28/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-3 18 L
20/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 614 L
14/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 59 L
06/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 55 W
30/05 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 87 L
23/05 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 36 L
16/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 15 L
09/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-2 19 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon FC vs Paysandu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon FC win (44%). Probabilities: Colon FC 44%, draw 29%, Paysandu FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Colon FC vs Paysandu FC?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Colon FC 1.34 · Paysandu FC 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon FC vs Paysandu FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.