Football · Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2 · 18/07, 20:00

Prediction: SSA FC vs Barreiras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

SSA FC1.54

Barreiras1.11

1X2

46% 27% 27%

SSA FC Draw Barreiras

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SSA FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Barreiras 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SSA FC 1–1 Barreiras (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSA FC 1552 · Barreiras 1570

	SSA FC	Draw	Barreiras
Our model	46%	28%	26%
Market	46%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSA FC	Barreiras
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	3.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +11’	1.91	3.30	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SSA FC 1–0–1 Barreiras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	Barreiras	2-1 HT 1-0	SSA FC
05/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	SSA FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Barreiras

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fluminense De Feira	9	8	1	0	33	5	25
2	SSA FC	9	7	0	2	19	5	21
3	Barreiras	9	7	0	2	20	8	21
4	Feira FC	9	6	1	2	27	4	19
5	Redencao	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
6	Leonico	9	3	1	5	16	24	10
7	Jacobina EC	9	2	1	6	9	23	7
8	Grapiuna	9	2	1	6	8	26	7
9	Vitoria da Conquista	9	1	3	5	9	15	6
10	Camacari	9	0	0	9	5	41	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSA FC	Barreiras
Fluminense De Feira	0-4 L	1-3 L
Camacari	8-0 W	9-0 W
Feira FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Redencao	1-0 W	1-0 W
Vitoria da Conquista	2-0 W	2-1 W
Grapiuna	3-0 W	1-0 W
Jacobina EC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Leonico	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSA FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Barreiras Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
05/07	Barreiras Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
21/06	Fluminense De Feira Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-3	0-4	10	2	L
11/06	Camacari Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	5-0	8-0	9	3	W
07/06	Feira FC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
31/05	Redencao Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/05	Vitoria da Conquista Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Grapiuna Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/05	Jacobina EC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Leonico Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	3-0	5	4	W

Barreiras

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	SSA FC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
05/07	SSA FC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
21/06	Vitoria da Conquista Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	Leonico Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-0	2-1	16	11	W
07/06	Jacobina EC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	Fluminense De Feira Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
23/05	Grapiuna Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
17/05	Feira FC Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Redencao Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Camacari Brazil Campeonato Baiano 2	7-0	9-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSA FC vs Barreiras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SSA FC win (46%). Probabilities: SSA FC 46%, draw 27%, Barreiras 27%.

How many goals are expected in SSA FC vs Barreiras?

The model expects 2.65 goals (SSA FC 1.54 · Barreiras 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SSA FC vs Barreiras?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.