Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 20/07, 20:00
Prediction: Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Centro Espanol1.24
Leones de Rosario1.22
1X2
Centro Espanol
Draw
Leones de Rosario
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Centro Espanol
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Leones de Rosario
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Centro Espanol
1–0
Leones de Rosario
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Centro Espanol 1545 · Leones de Rosario 1493
| Centro Espanol | Draw | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1545 vs 1493).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Centro Espanol | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Centro Espanol 1–0–0 Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Leones de Rosario | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Centro Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 14 | Fenix | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Centro Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Centro Espanol win (35%). Probabilities: Centro Espanol 35%, draw 32%, Leones de Rosario 34%.
How many goals are expected in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Centro Espanol 1.24 · Leones de Rosario 1.22), with a 59% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.