Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 18/07, 08:30

Prediction: New Lambton FC (W) vs Adamstown Rosebud (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

New Lambton FC (W)3.05

Adamstown Rosebud (W)1.35

1X2

71% 16% 13%

New Lambton FC (W) Draw Adamstown Rosebud (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

New Lambton FC (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Adamstown Rosebud (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

New Lambton FC (W) 6–0 Adamstown Rosebud (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New Lambton FC (W) 1620 · Adamstown Rosebud (W) 1446

	New Lambton FC (W)	Draw	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
Our model	71%	16%	13%
Market	71%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New Lambton FC (W) (rating 1620 vs 1446).
H2H favours New Lambton FC (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New Lambton FC (W)	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.9	1.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	1.1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0.1	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.88

2 (+1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.22 → 1.28 ▲ +5.2%

X 6.00 → 5.50 ▼ -8.3%

2 8.50 → 7.00 ▼ -17.6%

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Head-to-head (H2H) · New Lambton FC (W) 6–0–0 Adamstown Rosebud (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	2-4 HT 1-3	New Lambton FC (W)
08/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	New Lambton FC (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
26/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	New Lambton FC (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
23/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	0-6 HT 0-1	New Lambton FC (W)
15/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	New Lambton FC (W)	4-2 HT 4-2	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
27/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	New Lambton FC (W)

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maitland FC (W)	13	11	1	1	58	9	34
2	New Lambton FC (W)	14	11	1	2	49	28	34
3	Lake Macquarie (W)	14	6	3	5	22	26	21
4	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	13	3	3	7	30	37	12
5	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	14	3	3	8	25	32	12
6	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	13	3	1	9	18	44	10
7	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	13	2	4	7	11	37	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New Lambton FC (W)	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
Maitland FC (W)	2-1 W	0-4 L
Charlestown Azzurri (W)	3-0 W	2-2 D
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	6-1 W	4-2 W
Broadmeadow Magic (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Lake Macquarie (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: New Lambton FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New Lambton FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
20/06	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	1	W
13/06	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	4-1	6-1	7	0	W
10/06	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-1	3-2	2	1	W
02/06	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-0	3-1	7	0	W
08/05	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-1	4-2	5	3	W
26/04	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-8	1	0	L
17/04	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-2	2-2	9	1	D
11/04	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	3-2	6	1	W
28/03	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	2	2	W

Adamstown Rosebud (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L
19/06	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
14/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
30/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	4-2	4	2	W
16/05	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
08/05	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-3	2-4	3	3	L
26/04	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	6	0	L
18/04	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	4-2	5-3	4	5	W
12/04	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
29/03	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	2-3	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New Lambton FC (W) vs Adamstown Rosebud (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New Lambton FC (W) win (71%). Probabilities: New Lambton FC (W) 71%, draw 16%, Adamstown Rosebud (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in New Lambton FC (W) vs Adamstown Rosebud (W)?

The model expects 4.4 goals (New Lambton FC (W) 3.05 · Adamstown Rosebud (W) 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in New Lambton FC (W) vs Adamstown Rosebud (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.