Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 19/07, 05:00

Prediction: Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Newcastle Olympic FC1.78

Belmont Swansea United SC2.03

1X2

34% 23% 44%

Newcastle Olympic FC Draw Belmont Swansea United SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Newcastle Olympic FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Belmont Swansea United SC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Newcastle Olympic FC 1–2–0 Belmont Swansea United SC (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Newcastle Olympic FC 1478 · Belmont Swansea United SC 1547

	Newcastle Olympic FC	Draw	Belmont Swansea United SC
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belmont Swansea United SC (rating 1478 vs 1547).
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Newcastle Olympic FC	Belmont Swansea United SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6	3.6 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Olympic FC 1–2–0 Belmont Swansea United SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Belmont Swansea United SC	2-2 HT 0-2	Newcastle Olympic FC
10/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Belmont Swansea United SC	2-3 HT 1-0	Newcastle Olympic FC
06/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Belmont Swansea United SC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Weston Workers FC	18	10	3	5	39	29	33
3	Belmont Swansea United SC	17	9	5	3	40	30	32
4	Maitland FC	17	9	3	5	33	28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	18	6	4	8	35	29	22
8	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	18	4	6	8	33	32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	17	4	2	11	26	41	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24	49	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Newcastle Olympic FC	Belmont Swansea United SC
Broadmeadow Magic	1-2 L	1-0 W
Charlestown Azzurri	7-1 W	3-1 W
Cooks Hill United	0-0 D	3-1 W
Maitland FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Kahibah FC	3-3 D	6-3 W
Adamstown Rosebud	0-2 L	2-2 D
Weston Workers FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Lambton Jaffas	0-2 L	2-1 W
Valentine Phoenix	6-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belmont Swansea United SC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newcastle Olympic FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
01/07	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	4-0	7-1	1	4	W
27/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
21/06	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
14/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-3	8	3	D
30/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
17/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
10/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
02/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-1	6-1	6	5	W
25/04	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-3	6	3	D

Belmont Swansea United SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	6	W
20/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
05/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	12	4	W
30/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
16/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	2-2	8	2	D
02/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
26/04	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-1	6-3	9	2	W
19/04	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	2-2	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Belmont Swansea United SC win (44%). Probabilities: Newcastle Olympic FC 34%, draw 23%, Belmont Swansea United SC 44%.

How many goals are expected in Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Newcastle Olympic FC 1.78 · Belmont Swansea United SC 2.03), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.