Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 19/07, 07:00

Prediction: Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Charlestown Azzurri1.4

Edgeworth Eagles2.16

1X2

24% 22% 54%

Charlestown Azzurri Draw Edgeworth Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Charlestown Azzurri 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Edgeworth Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Charlestown Azzurri 0–2–4 Edgeworth Eagles (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlestown Azzurri 1387 · Edgeworth Eagles 1533

	Charlestown Azzurri	Draw	Edgeworth Eagles
Our model	24%	22%	54%
Market	24%	21%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edgeworth Eagles (rating 1387 vs 1533).
H2H favours Edgeworth Eagles: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlestown Azzurri	Edgeworth Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.5	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.7	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlestown Azzurri 0–2–4 Edgeworth Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Edgeworth Eagles	0-0 HT 0-0	Charlestown Azzurri
18/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	2-1 HT 2-0	Charlestown Azzurri
08/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Charlestown Azzurri
09/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	1-2 HT 1-1	Edgeworth Eagles
08/09/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	3-1 HT 1-0	Charlestown Azzurri
17/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	2-2 HT 1-1	Edgeworth Eagles

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Weston Workers FC	18	10	3	5	39	29	33
3	Belmont Swansea United SC	17	9	5	3	40	30	32
4	Maitland FC	17	9	3	5	33	28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	18	6	4	8	35	29	22
8	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	18	4	6	8	33	32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	17	4	2	11	26	41	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24	49	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlestown Azzurri	Edgeworth Eagles
Weston Workers FC	0-5 L	2-2 D
Cooks Hill United	0-4 L	0-1 L
Kahibah FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Lambton Jaffas	1-3 L	3-2 W
Adamstown Rosebud	0-2 L	3-2 W
Broadmeadow Magic	3-5 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Edgeworth Eagles (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Charlestown Azzurri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-5	3	2	L
11/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
01/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-4	1-7	6	4	L
27/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
24/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
21/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-4	7	3	L
14/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
06/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
16/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
10/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	3-5	3	3	L

Edgeworth Eagles

DWWLDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	1	W
23/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	3-2	8	1	W
20/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
06/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
17/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
12/05	Cooks Hill United Australia Cup Qualifying	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
03/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Edgeworth Eagles win (54%). Probabilities: Charlestown Azzurri 24%, draw 22%, Edgeworth Eagles 54%.

How many goals are expected in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Charlestown Azzurri 1.4 · Edgeworth Eagles 2.16), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.