Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 18/07, 17:00
Prediction: Shelbourne (W) vs Cork City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Shelbourne (W)2.79
Cork City (W)0.79
1X2
Shelbourne (W)
Draw
Cork City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Shelbourne (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Cork City (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shelbourne (W)
6–0
Cork City (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shelbourne (W) 1603 · Cork City (W) 1438
| Shelbourne (W) | Draw | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 88% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1603 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shelbourne (W) | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.7 | 0.9 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne (W) 6–0–0 Cork City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 02/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 19/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 21/09/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women | Shelbourne (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 10/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 25/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Cork City (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Galway (W) | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 11 |
| 9 | DLR Waves (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 8 |
| 10 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 11 | Waterford FC (W) | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shelbourne (W) | Cork City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Waterford FC (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Athlone Town (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 4-2 W | 6-0 W |
| Galway (W) | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shelbourne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Cork City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shelbourne (W) vs Cork City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Shelbourne (W) 83%, draw 11%, Cork City (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Shelbourne (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Shelbourne (W) 2.79 · Cork City (W) 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shelbourne (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.