Basketball · Syria League · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.4Total
Al Ittihad Aleppo82.5
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)75.9
1X2
Al Ittihad Aleppo
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ittihad Aleppo
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1–2
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Ittihad Aleppo 1487 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 1522
| Al Ittihad Aleppo | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -4.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.4Al Ittihad Aleppo 82.5 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 75.9
Match keys
- Al Ittihad Aleppo is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours Homs Al Fidaa (SYR): 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Al Ittihad Aleppo | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.2 / 76.3 | 83.8 / 84.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 80.4 | 81 / 73.8 |
| Est. result | 83 | 76 |
Est. total158.4
Line O/U162.5
Diff.4.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittihad Aleppo 1–0–2 Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Syria League | Al Ittihad Aleppo | 74-88 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) |
| 09/06/26 Syria League | Al Ittihad Aleppo | 78-75 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) |
| 17/04/26 Syria League | Al Ittihad Aleppo | 69-76 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ittihad Aleppo | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) |
|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda (Syria) | 71-82 L | 77-65 W |
| Shabibeh | 74-72 W | 85-80 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ittihad Aleppo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) Syria League |
74-88 | L |
| 09/06 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) Syria League |
78-75 | W |
| 29/05 | Al Nawair Syria League |
78-73 | W |
| 23/05 | Al Karamah Syria League |
93-84 | W |
| 14/05 | Al Wahda (Syria) Syria League |
71-82 | L |
| 27/04 | Al Nawair Syria League |
85-74 | W |
| 17/04 | Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) Syria League |
69-76 | L |
| 02/04 | Shabibeh Syria League |
74-72 | W |
| 30/03 | Al Karamah Syria League |
70-83 | L |
| 11/03 | Al Wahda (Syria) Syria League |
60-56 | W |
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Al Ittihad Aleppo Syria League |
88-74 | W |
| 09/06 | Al Ittihad Aleppo Syria League |
75-78 | L |
| 04/05 | Shabibeh Syria League |
85-80 | W |
| 17/04 | Al Ittihad Aleppo Syria League |
76-69 | W |
| 10/04 | Shabibeh Syria League |
81-68 | W |
| 28/01 | Al Nasr (UAE) UAE Dubai IBC |
100-101 | L |
| 27/01 | Al Ittihad (Libya) UAE Dubai IBC |
89-112 | L |
| 25/01 | Al Wahda (Syria) UAE Dubai IBC |
77-65 | W |
| 23/01 | UAE UAE Dubai IBC |
70-97 | L |
| 01/10 | Antonine Arab Club Championship |
97-98 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)?
Our model gives 68% to Al Ittihad Aleppo.
How many points are expected in Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)?
The model estimates 158.4 total points (Al Ittihad Aleppo 82.5 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 75.9).