Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 20/07, 02:00

Prediction: Arecibo vs Aguada Santeros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

186.8Total

Arecibo94.1

Aguada Santeros92.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Arecibo Aguada Santeros

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Arecibo 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLLWL

Aguada Santeros 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Arecibo 2–4 Aguada Santeros (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points186.8Arecibo 94.1 · Aguada Santeros 92.7

Match keys

H2H favours Aguada Santeros: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Arecibo	Aguada Santeros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.4 / 96.2	94.4 / 92.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.6 / 93.4	93.4 / 91.6
Est. result	94	93

Est. total186.8

Line O/U187

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1871.85

Under 1871.82

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 188.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.37▼	Pinn 1.37
2	2.46 → 2.67▲	Pinn 2.67

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.3%

Time*	1	2
05:45 +1’	1.44	2.46
06:44 +2’	1.37▼	2.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arecibo 2–0–4 Aguada Santeros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Arecibo	92-95	Aguada Santeros
16/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Aguada Santeros	93-100	Arecibo
14/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Arecibo	86-98	Aguada Santeros
12/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Aguada Santeros	83-79	Arecibo
10/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Arecibo	101-98	Aguada Santeros
12/06/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Arecibo	90-99	Aguada Santeros

Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	San German	34	21	13	3047	2983
2	Arecibo	34	17	17	3205	3259
3	Aguada Santeros	34	17	17	3046	3145
4	Ponce	34	15	19	3142	3103
5	Mayaguez	34	13	21	3066	3155
6	Quebradillas	34	10	24	3052	3255

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arecibo	Aguada Santeros
Santurce	92-114 L	87-94 L
Quebradillas	100-105 L	98-90 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Aguada Santeros (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arecibo

WLLLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	92-95	L
16/07	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	100-93	W
14/07	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	86-98	L
12/07	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	79-83	L
10/07	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	101-98	W
30/06	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	92-114	L
28/06	San German Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	96-98	L
26/06	Quebradillas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	100-105	L
24/06	Manati Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	92-93	L
21/06	San German Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	106-85	W

Aguada Santeros

WLLWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	95-92	W
16/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	93-100	L
14/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	98-86	W
12/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	83-79	W
10/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	98-101	L
30/06	Quebradillas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	98-90	W
28/06	Quebradillas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	105-90	W
27/06	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	95-109	L
25/06	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	87-94	L
21/06	Mayaguez Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	92-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arecibo vs Aguada Santeros?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Arecibo 54% · Aguada Santeros 46%).

How many points are expected in Arecibo vs Aguada Santeros?

The model estimates 186.8 total points (Arecibo 94.1 · Aguada Santeros 92.7).