Basketball · Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa · 17/07, 02:00

Prediction: Brumas de Jinotega vs Jaguares UAM

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.9Total

Brumas de Jinotega76.6

Jaguares UAM78.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Brumas de Jinotega Jaguares UAM

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Brumas de Jinotega 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWL

Jaguares UAM 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Brumas de Jinotega 1–5 Jaguares UAM (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brumas de Jinotega 1573 · Jaguares UAM 1651

	Brumas de Jinotega	Jaguares UAM
Our model	52%	48%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 154.9 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -9.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.9Brumas de Jinotega 76.6 · Jaguares UAM 78.4

Match keys

H2H favours Jaguares UAM: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brumas de Jinotega	Jaguares UAM
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.2 / 66	104.1 / 64.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.6 / 72.4	96.4 / 78
Est. result	77	78

Est. total154.9

Line O/U164.5

Diff.9.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 9.15 · Est. total: 155.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.83 → 2.12 ▲ +15.7%

2 1.83 → 1.65 ▼ -10.3%

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brumas de Jinotega 1–0–5 Jaguares UAM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	Jaguares UAM	104-86	Brumas de Jinotega
25/10/25 Nicaragua LSB	Brumas de Jinotega	84-95	Jaguares UAM
11/10/25 Nicaragua LSB	Jaguares UAM	77-64	Brumas de Jinotega
27/09/25 Nicaragua LSB	Brumas de Jinotega	81-85	Jaguares UAM
15/06/25 Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	Jaguares UAM	72-75	Brumas de Jinotega
15/10/24 Nicaragua LSB	Jaguares UAM	73-51	Brumas de Jinotega

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brumas de Jinotega	Jaguares UAM
Unan Managua	78-53 W	83-47 W
Flecheros de Matagalpa	78-70 W	86-75 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Jaguares UAM (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brumas de Jinotega

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/07	Jaguares UAM Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	86-104	L
12/07	Leones de Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	72-59	W
11/07	Leones de Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	86-70	W
28/06	La Trinidad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	73-63	W
26/06	La Trinidad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	81-66	W
22/06	Tipitapa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	74-70	W
21/06	Tipitapa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	90-80	W
15/06	Unan Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-53	W
14/06	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-70	W
07/06	Academia LAV Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	44-25	W

Jaguares UAM

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/07	Brumas de Jinotega Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	104-86	W
12/07	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	86-75	W
11/07	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	88-81	W
28/06	Mineros Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	102-74	W
28/06	Mineros La Libertad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	102-74	W
21/06	Indigenas de San Isidro Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	117-47	W
15/06	Americas 2 (Nicaragua) Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	106-55	W
25/05	Leon Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	175-51	W
17/05	Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-54	W
11/05	Unan Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	83-47	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brumas de Jinotega vs Jaguares UAM?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Brumas de Jinotega 45% · Jaguares UAM 55%).

How many points are expected in Brumas de Jinotega vs Jaguares UAM?

The model estimates 154.9 total points (Brumas de Jinotega 76.6 · Jaguares UAM 78.4).