Football · USA USL League Two · 01/07, 22:00
Project 51O vs San Francisco City FC
Expected goals: 3.26 (Project 51O 1.76 · San Francisco City FC 1.5). The model gives 43% home, 25% draw, 32% away. Over 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Project 51O 1577 · San Francisco City FC 1607
| Project 51O | Draw | San Francisco City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.26Project 51O 1.76 · San Francisco City FC 1.5
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Francisco City FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Project 51O | San Francisco City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 2.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Project 51O 2–1–3 San Francisco City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | San Francisco City FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Project 51O |
| 24/05/25 USA USL League Two | Project 51O | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Francisco City FC |
| 11/07/24 USA USL League Two | Project 51O | 4-3 HT 2-0 | San Francisco City FC |
| 12/05/24 USA USL League Two | San Francisco City FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Project 51O |
| 23/06/23 USA USL League Two | Project 51O | 0-3 HT 0-1 | San Francisco City FC |
| 15/05/23 USA USL League Two | San Francisco City FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Project 51O |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Norcal Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco City FC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Project 51O | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Almaden SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | San Francisco Glens SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Davis Legacy | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 9 |
| 6 | Academica SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 9 |
| 7 | Marin FC Legends | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 8 |
| 8 | San Juan FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Project 51O | San Francisco City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Almaden SC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Davis Legacy | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Academica SC | 5-3 W | 3-2 W |
| San Francisco Glens SC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| San Juan FC | 3-1 W | 6-2 W |
| Marin FC Legends | 5-2 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: San Francisco City FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Project 51O
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Davis Legacy USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Academica SC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Academica SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
San Francisco City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Academica SC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
5-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Davis Legacy USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Project 51O USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |