Fútbol · Australia NPL Queensland · 5/7, 07:45
Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar NPL
Se esperan 4,3 goles (Brisbane City 2,76 · Brisbane Roar NPL 1,54). El modelo da 62% al 1, 19% a la X y 19% al 2. Más de 4 goles (50%) y ambos marcan (61%). Marcador más probable: 2-1.
62%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Brisbane City 1531 · Brisbane Roar NPL 1414
| Brisbane City | Empate | Brisbane Roar NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Mercado | 62% | 19% | 19% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
4.3 goles · línea Bet365 4 · +0.3
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados4,3Brisbane City 2,76 · Brisbane Roar NPL 1,54
Más / Menos 4Más 4 · 50%
Ambos marcanSí · 61%
Total más probable4 goles
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 58%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Brisbane City (rating 1531 vs 1414).
- Historial directo a favor de Brisbane City: 6-0-0.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.2 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Brisbane City | Brisbane Roar NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 2.4 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Brisbane City 6–0–0 Brisbane Roar NPL
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Brisbane City |
| 26/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane City | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Brisbane Roar NPL |
| 18/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane City |
| 26/05/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Brisbane City |
| 24/02/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Roar NPL |
| 04/06/23 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Roar NPL |
Clasificación · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Knights | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 26 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 38 | 25 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 14 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 10 |
| 11 | Magic United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 49 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 9 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Brisbane City | Brisbane Roar NPL |
|---|---|---|
| Magic United | 5-3 V | 1-2 D |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1-3 D | 1-3 D |
| Gold Coast United | 2-0 V | 4-1 V |
| Lions FC | 0-4 D | 1-3 D |
| Brisbane Olympic FC | 3-2 V | 1-5 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 5-2 V | 0-6 D |
| Peninsula Power | 1-4 D | 1-3 D |
| Wynnum Wolves | 3-0 V | 1-2 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 5 V 0 E 3 D | 1 V 0 E 7 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Brisbane City (4 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Brisbane City
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | V |
| 20/6 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 13/6 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | V |
| 6/6 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/5 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 22/5 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | V |
| 8/5 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 4/5 | St George Willawong FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 26/4 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | V |
| 19/4 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | E |
Brisbane Roar NPL
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 20/6 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 6/6 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 2/6 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/5 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/5 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/5 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/4 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/4 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 12/4 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | V |