Fútbol · Republic of Ireland First Division · 3/7, 20:45
Treaty United FC vs Kerry FC
Se esperan 2,29 goles (Treaty United FC 1,19 · Kerry FC 1,1). El modelo da 37% al 1, 30% a la X y 33% al 2. Más de 2,25 goles (50%) y ambos marcan (51%). Marcador más probable: 1-1.
37%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Treaty United FC 1471 · Kerry FC 1515
| Treaty United FC | Empate | Kerry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Mercado | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.29 goles · línea Bet365 2.25
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados2,29Treaty United FC 1,19 · Kerry FC 1,1
Más / Menos 2,25Más 2,25 · 50%
Ambos marcanSí · 51%
Total más probable2 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 72%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Kerry FC (rating 1471 vs 1515).
- Partido de tarjetas: 9.2 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Treaty United FC | Kerry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Treaty United FC 1–4–1 Kerry FC
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 13/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Kerry FC | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 26/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 04/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kerry FC |
| 09/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
Clasificación · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 51 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 31 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 19 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 17 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Treaty United FC | Kerry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wexford FC | 0-0 E | 2-1 V |
| Cork City | 0-4 D | 1-0 V |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-2 E | 2-2 E |
| Longford Town | 1-3 D | 2-1 V |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-2 D | 0-2 D |
| Finn Harps | 3-0 V | 0-1 D |
| Athlone Town | 0-0 E | 1-0 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 3 E 3 D | 4 V 1 E 2 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Kerry FC (4 de 7 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Treaty United FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | E |
| 19/6 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/6 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | E |
| 29/5 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/5 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/5 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/5 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | V |
| 8/5 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | E |
| 4/5 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | V |
| 1/5 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 12 | E |
Kerry FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | V |
| 19/6 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 12/6 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 29/5 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/5 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | E |
| 15/5 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | V |
| 8/5 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 4/5 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 1/5 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | E |
| 25/4 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | D |