Fútbol · Republic of Ireland First Division · 4/7, 20:30
Longford Town vs UCD
Se esperan 2,67 goles (Longford Town 1,08 · UCD 1,59). El modelo da 25% al 1, 27% a la X y 48% al 2. Menos de 2,5 goles (51%) y ambos marcan (53%). Marcador más probable: 1-1.
48%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Longford Town 1489 · UCD 1533
| Longford Town | Empate | UCD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Mercado | 25% | 26% | 48% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.67 goles · línea Bet365 2.5 · +0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados2,67Longford Town 1,08 · UCD 1,59
Más / Menos 2,5Menos 2,5 · 51%
Ambos marcanSí · 53%
Total más probable2 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 67%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a UCD (rating 1489 vs 1533).
- Historial directo a favor de UCD: 4-2-0.
- Partido de tarjetas: 8.4 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Longford Town | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/40/20% | 50/0/50% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Longford Town 0–2–4 UCD
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 07/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 28/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 09/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Longford Town |
| 12/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UCD |
Clasificación · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 51 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 31 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 19 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 17 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Longford Town | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry FC | 1-2 D | 0-1 D |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-5 D | 3-4 D |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-1 V | 2-0 V |
| Treaty United FC | 3-1 V | 3-0 V |
| Finn Harps | 2-2 E | 5-0 V |
| Cork City | 0-2 D | 1-3 D |
| Wexford FC | 2-1 V | 1-2 D |
| Athlone Town | 1-1 E | 1-0 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 2 E 3 D | 4 V 0 E 4 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: UCD (5 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Longford Town
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 19/6 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/6 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | V |
| 29/5 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | V |
| 22/5 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | E |
| 16/5 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 8/5 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | V |
| 4/5 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | E |
| 1/5 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/4 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | V |
UCD
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 19/6 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/6 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 29/5 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | V |
| 22/5 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 15/5 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 8/5 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 4/5 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 1/5 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | V |
| 24/4 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | V |