Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 16/07, 12:00
Prediction: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Harmony Tan
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanne Vandewinkel
Harmony Tan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hanne Vandewinkel
6-4 (W-L)
Harmony Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanne Vandewinkel 1511 · Harmony Tan 1567
| Hanne Vandewinkel | Harmony Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harmony Tan (rating 1511 vs 1567).
Statistics
| Hanne Vandewinkel | Harmony Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 13-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanne Vandewinkel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Harmony Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Mia Pohankova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanne Vandewinkel vs Harmony Tan?
Our model gives 50% to Hanne Vandewinkel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.